As mortgage rates have stabilised and begun to edge down in 2026, many borrowers approaching renewal have assumed they will be able to switch lenders easily and secure a better deal. For some, that has been true.

For others, the experience has been deeply frustrating.

At Willow Private Finance, we are seeing a growing number of borrowers who are perfectly up to date with payments, have built equity, and have never missed a mortgage instalment—yet find they cannot move lenders when their fixed rate ends. Even when new rates are lower than their current deal, switching is not always possible.

This is not a system failure. It is the direct result of how mortgage lending has evolved since 2024, and it is catching many borrowers off guard.

This article explains why mortgage renewals in 2026 are not as straightforward as many expect, why some borrowers are effectively “trapped” with their existing lender, and what can be done to navigate the situation intelligently.

Why Renewals No Longer Resemble the Pre-2024 Experience

Before 2024, mortgage renewals were often treated as routine. If a borrower had paid on time and built some equity, switching lenders was usually achievable unless circumstances had materially deteriorated.

That assumption no longer holds.

Following the volatility of the last cycle, lenders rebuilt their underwriting frameworks around forward-looking risk rather than historical performance. In 2026, switching lenders is treated as a brand-new lending decision, not a continuation of an existing one.

The distinction is crucial. While an existing lender may be willing to retain a borrower based on repayment history, a new lender assesses the case as fresh risk using today’s affordability rules, stress tests, and cost assumptions.

Affordability Is the Primary Barrier, Not Credit Quality

The most common reason borrowers cannot switch in 2026 is not poor credit or missed payments. It is affordability.

Lenders now apply conservative stress testing that often bears little resemblance to a borrower’s actual mortgage payment. Even if a new product would reduce monthly costs, lenders assess whether the borrower could afford the loan at a much higher notional rate.

In many cases, borrowers who comfortably passed affordability checks five or even three years ago no longer do so under current models. Changes in household costs, stricter expenditure assumptions, and reduced income tolerance all contribute to this outcome.

The irony is that some borrowers cannot switch to a cheaper deal because lenders believe they could not afford a hypothetical future increase—even though they have demonstrated affordability in real terms for years.

Existing Lenders Play by Different Rules

While new lenders must assess full affordability, existing lenders often operate under different regulatory allowances.

For like-for-like renewals or product transfers, many lenders are permitted to rely more heavily on payment history rather than re-running full affordability. This allows borrowers to remain with their current lender even when they would fail a new application elsewhere.

This divergence explains why some borrowers feel “stuck.” The issue is not that they are high risk, but that the rules applied to new lending are materially stricter than those applied to retention.

As explored in our earlier article on how lenders treat existing borrowers differently in 2026, loyalty and track record now play a much larger role than borrowers expect.

Income That Hasn’t Changed Can Still Be Treated Differently

Another source of confusion is income.

Many borrowers assume that if their income is the same or higher than when they last applied, switching should be straightforward. In 2026, this is often not the case.

Lenders now assess income through a sustainability lens. Variable income is averaged more conservatively, bonuses are discounted more heavily, and self-employed earnings are scrutinised in greater depth. Even salaried borrowers may find that overtime or allowances previously accepted are no longer fully counted.

As a result, a borrower with unchanged earnings may still fail affordability when switching lenders, despite having paid their mortgage without issue.

Household Costs Are Working Against Borrowers

One of the least understood factors affecting renewals in 2026 is the role of household cost modelling.

Lenders now apply higher assumed living costs across the board, reflecting long-term changes in energy, insurance, transport, and general expenses. These assumptions are applied regardless of a borrower’s actual spending patterns.

For higher earners, the effect can be counterintuitive. Increased income often triggers higher assumed expenditure, leaving net affordability unchanged or worse.

This is a major reason borrowers feel they are being assessed unfairly at renewal, even when their real-world finances feel comfortable.

Loan Size and Property Type Matter More Than Before

Borrowers with larger mortgages or non-standard properties are disproportionately affected.

Higher loan sizes amplify the impact of stress testing, while non-standard properties attract additional risk weighting from lenders unfamiliar with the asset. When switching lenders, these factors compound.

Existing lenders, already comfortable with the property and loan, may be willing to retain the borrower. New lenders, by contrast, view both as fresh risk.

This creates a situation where remaining with the current lender is viable, but switching becomes impractical.

The “Mortgage Prisoner” Without Arrears

A common scenario we see involves borrowers who fixed at low rates several years ago, experienced rising costs across their household, but continued to pay on time throughout.

At renewal in 2026, they discover that although rates are lower than recent peaks, they cannot pass affordability with a new lender. Their existing lender offers a product transfer, but choice is limited.

These borrowers are not in arrears, not overleveraged in real terms, and not financially irresponsible. They are simply caught between old borrowing assumptions and new lending rules.

Why This Is Not a Temporary Problem

Many borrowers assume this issue will resolve itself as rates continue to fall. That expectation may be misplaced.

Stress testing and affordability frameworks introduced after 2024 are now structural. They are designed to protect lenders against future volatility, not current conditions.

Even if rates soften further, there is no guarantee that affordability models will loosen in parallel. Borrowers waiting for a return to pre-2024 renewal norms may be disappointed.

What Borrowers Should Do Instead

The most important step borrowers can take in 2026 is to plan renewals early and realistically.

Understanding whether switching is feasible before a fixed rate ends allows time to restructure, reduce commitments, or adjust expectations. In some cases, remaining with an existing lender may be the most pragmatic option, even if pricing is not ideal.

In others, early intervention can make switching possible—but only with careful planning.

How Willow Private Finance Can Help

Willow Private Finance specialises in renewal and remortgage strategy in exactly this environment.

We assess whether switching is genuinely achievable under current affordability rules, identify lenders with more flexible models, and advise on structuring options that improve outcomes. Where switching is not realistic, we help clients secure the best possible retention terms and plan for future flexibility.

Our role is not to promise options that do not exist, but to ensure borrowers understand their real choices—and act from a position of clarity rather than surprise.

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1: Why can’t some borrowers switch lenders at renewal in 2026?
A: Most commonly due to stricter affordability stress testing applied to new applications, even when rates are lower.

Q2: Does payment history help when switching lenders?
A: Payment history helps with existing lenders, but new lenders focus more on current affordability models.

Q3: Are borrowers forced to stay with their existing lender?
A: In some cases, yes—switching may not be feasible under current rules, even if remaining is affordable.

Q4: Will falling rates fix this problem?
A: Not necessarily. Affordability stress testing is now structural and may not ease with rates.



Q5: Can advice improve renewal outcomes?
A: Yes. Early planning and strategic lender selection can materially improve options.

📞 Want Help Navigating Today’s Market?

Book a free strategy call with one of our mortgage specialists.

We’ll help you find the smartest way forward—whatever rates do next.